ANALYSIS OF FACTORS INFLUENCING THE INTENTIONS TO MIGRATE FROM RURAL AREAS OF ARMENIA AND GEORGIA USING CAUCASUS BAROMETER 2015

Authors

  • Anna Dalaryan ATC-Agribusiness teaching center

Keywords:

rural migration, households, income, employment, economic and political factors.

Abstract

Migration flows from South Caucasian countries have increased over the past century. These patterns contain positive and negative impacts on the home countries. Prior to analyzing such effects, the causes of migration should be considered and studied in-depth in order to understand the main reasons behind migratory intentions. For this study, Armenia and Georgia will be reviewed because, for many years, these countries shared similar migration traits. Given that a large number of emigrants are from rural areas in Armenia and Georgia, this study was conducted in order to understand the factors that motivate and create intentions to migrate from rural areas. This study’s analysis utilizes the Caucasus Barometer Household Survey (2015) implemented by the Caucasus Research Resource Center’s regional offices in Armenia and Georgia (CRRC,) and a logit model is used to evaluate the factors that create the intention to migrate from rural areas in Armenia and Georgia. The main factors to be analyzed are as follows: household income and employment status as control factors, and gender, age, education level, the presence of relatives abroad, trust towards the Government and the Parliament, and whether people are treated fairly by the Government or not as independent variables

References

Aleshkovski, Ivan, and Vladimir Iontsev. 2004. "Mathematical Models of Migration." Accessed October 14, 2016. http://www.eolss.net/samplechapters/c15/e1-26-09-06.pdf.

Asatryan, Armen. 2007. "Migration in the South Caucasus Republics." Accessed October 11, 2016. http://www.crrc.am/hosting/file/_static_content/fellows/fellowship06/A%20Asatryan/Armen%20Asatryan_r eport.pdf.

Badurashvili, Irina. 2004. "Determinants and consequences of irregular migration in a society under transition. The case of Georgia, Caucasus." Accessed September 23, 2016. http://paa2004. princeton.edu/papers/41960.

Ballard, Roger. 1987. "The political economy of migration: Pakistan, Britain and the Middle East." Workers and the Social Order 17-21. CRRC. 2015. Caucasus Barometer Household Survey. Accessed 2016. Dermendzhieva, Zvezda. 2011. "Migration from the South Caucasus: who goes abroad and what are the economic implications?" Accessed October 8, 2016. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/ 14631377.2011.595135?scroll=top&needAccess=true.

Esadze, Ketevan. 2010. "Population Migration from Georgia to EU Countries." Accessed January 2017. http://ies.tsu.edu.ge/data/file_db /esadze/Ketevan%20Esadze%20Master%20Thesis%20Population%20Migr ation%20from%20Georgia%20to%20EU%20Countries.pdf.

ETF. 2013. "Migration and Skills in Armenia and Georgia." Accessed October 12, 2016. http://www.etf.europa.eu/webatt.nsf/0/B711838175EB7 62EC1257B4D0042FF65/$file/Migration&skills_Armenia&Georgia.pdf.

Galstyan, Mihran. 2011. Labor-Migration of Rural Popoulation in Post-Soviet Period. Accessed November 26, 2016. http://lraber.asjoa.am/5862/1/2011-1-2_(164).pdf.

Grigoryan, Aleksandr. 2013. "Who else migrates from Armenia?" Accessed October 12, 2016. http://www.aea.am/files/papers/w1318.pdf.

ILO. 2009. Migration and Development. Yerevan: UN Armenia. IOM. 2008. "Migration in Georgia: A Country Profile ." Accessed October 12, 2016. http://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/georgia _profile2008.pdf

ISET. 2017. "Georgia and the Gravity of Migration."

Korobkov, Andrei. 2014. "The Post-Soviet Labor Migrations: The socio-economic, legal and financial aspects." Accessed October 12, 2016. http://citation.allacademic.com//meta/p_mla_apa_research_citation/0/7/4/2/ 5/pages74259/p74259-2.php.

Labadze, Lasha, and Mirjan Tukhashvili. 2013. "Costs and Benefits of Labour Mobility between the EU and the Eastern Partnership Partner Countires." Accessed September 29, 2016. http://www.caseresearch.eu/sites/default/files/Georgia%20country%20study%20- %20final.pdf.

Makaryan, Gagik, and Mihran Galstyan. 2012. "Costs and Benefits of Labour Mobility between the EU and the Eastern Partnership Partner Countries." October 31. Accessed October 11, 2016. http://www.caseresearch.eu/sites/default/files/Armenia%20country%20study%20- %20final.pdf.

Manasyan, Heghine, and Gevork Poghosyan. 2012. "Social Impact of Migration and Rural-Urban Migration in Central and Eastern Europe." April. Accessed September 25, 2016. ec.europa.eu .

Mayda, Anna Maria. 2008. "International Migration: A panel data analysis of the determinants of bilateral flows." Accessed October 5, 2016. http://faculty.georgetown.edu/amm223/InternationalMigration.pdf.

MPC. 2013. "The Demographic-Economic Framework of Migration ." Accessed September 29, 2016. http://www.migrationpolicycentre.eu/docs /migration_profiles/Georgia.pdf.

O'Rourke, Kevin, and Richard Sinnott . 2013. "Migration Flows: Political Economy of Migration and the Empirical Challeneges." IIIS Discussion Paper No. 6, SSRN.

UN. 2012. "Migration and human mobility." Accessed October 5, 2016.

WorldBank. 2002. Growth Challenges and Government Policies in Armenia. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. —. 2006. "Migration and Remittances." Accessed October 10, 2016. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTECA/Resources/257896- 1167856389505/Migration_FullReport.pdf.

Downloads

Published

2017-03-29

How to Cite

Dalaryan, A. . (2017). ANALYSIS OF FACTORS INFLUENCING THE INTENTIONS TO MIGRATE FROM RURAL AREAS OF ARMENIA AND GEORGIA USING CAUCASUS BAROMETER 2015. Analytical Bulletin, 1(10), 65–84. Retrieved from https://analytical-bulletin.cccs.am/index.php/ab/article/view/60